Forecasting the Impact of the Economic Recession on the Financing of Local Public Health Departments in Wisconsin (2010-2012)


PIs: Andrew Reschovsky, PhD and Susan Zahner, DrPH, RN, FAAN

Funder: National Coordinating Center for Public Health Services & Systems Research and Practice-Based Research Networks Quick Strike Award, a program of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation ($25,000)

The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of the “Great Recession” on local health department revenues and create a fiscal forecasting model to predict local health department revenues in Wisconsin from 2012-2014. Forecast model findings: 1) inflation adjusted revenues will decrease by $8M (4.7%) by 2014, 2) per capital real revenues will decrease by 6.6% between 2012-2014 due to population growth, 3) uncertainty exists of future federal funding supportive of local public health, and 4) local health department revenues will decrease by $4.4M if federal grants double their reductions in 2014.



Presentation Slides