University of Wisconsin–Madison

Forecasting the Impact of the Economic Recession on the Financing of Local Public Health Departments in Wisconsin (2010-2012)


PIs: Andrew Reschovsky, PhD and Susan Zahner, DrPH, RN, FAAN

Funder: National Coordinating Center for Public Health Services & Systems Research and Practice-Based Research Networks Quick Strike Award, a program of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation ($25,000)

The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of the “Great Recession” on local health department revenues and create a fiscal forecasting model to predict local health department revenues in Wisconsin from 2012-2014. Forecast model findings: 1) inflation adjusted revenues will decrease by $8M (4.7%) by 2014, 2) per capital real revenues will decrease by 6.6% between 2012-2014 due to population growth, 3) uncertainty exists of future federal funding supportive of local public health, and 4) local health department revenues will decrease by $4.4M if federal grants double their reductions in 2014.



Presentation Slides


Andrew Reschovsky, PhD

University of Wisconsin Madison-Professor Emeritus

University of Wisconsin-Madison
Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs
University of Wisconsin - Madison
1225 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706-1211

Susan Zahner, DrPH, RN, FAAN

WPHRN Co-Chair, University of Wisconsin-Associate Dean for Faculty Affairs and Vilas Distinguished Achievement Professor


University of Wisconsin-Madison School of Nursing
5226d Signe Skott Cooper Hall
701 Highland Avenue
Madison, WI 53705